Field notes The Energy Transition for the Rest of Us

Catalyst N° 121 of 125 20 Aug 2026

Can AI revolutionize grid operations?

with Josh Wong, CEO and founder, ThinkLabs AI

In this note
  1. 01The question
  2. 02The answer
  3. 03The argument
  4. 04What you need to know first
  5. 05Details worth keeping
  6. 06Claims worth citing
  7. 07Where it’s contested

The question

What actually happens inside a utility’s planning and operations functions, and where could AI change it?

The answer

The binding problem is not that studies are slow, though they are. It is that every tool a utility owns reports what is broken and none of them say what to do, so the fix still comes from one engineer’s experience and trial and error. Wong’s claim is that a model taught the physics of the grid can generate solutions instead of flagging problems, and that the larger prize sits in operations rather than planning, which is the opposite of what the automation there suggests.

03The argument

Planning is not one activity. It is bulk resource planning, transmission planning, distribution planning and distributed-energy-resource planning, each siloed, and inside one large East Coast utility Wong counts roughly a dozen departments doing transmission planning separately. Every request becomes its own study, even though connecting a generator and connecting a load run against the same model of the same grid, and half or more of the effort, especially in distribution, goes into cleaning scattered data. The analysis is then tuned to a worst case, the five hours in a year that will be worst over the next decade. Better practice is moving toward hundreds of representative hours and, as a gold standard, all 8,760, which is what you need if storage or flexible load is part of the answer. Then the assumptions change and the whole thing is restudied. Wong’s old line is that planners are always right, because they can blame the assumptions, and always wrong, because the assumptions are never correct. Kann asks whether the price is systematic overbuild; Wong half agrees, calling the grid an engineering marvel for its time that failed to keep up with digitalization.

The deeper problem is what a study returns. A decades-old simulator reports congestion and voltage violations, which amounts to a red or yellow light: restrict access, or build more lines. What to do is left to the planner’s experience. That was survivable while the answer was always more substations, wires and transformers. Affordability pressure and supply chain lead times have taken that answer away, so the menu now includes curtailing generation or load, adding a battery of some size somewhere on some charge schedule, and reconfiguring switching, several of which are operations decisions a planner does not own. Against millions of candidate line segments, trial and error cannot scale. Volume makes it worse: a cluster or large-load transmission study runs six to nine months and costs roughly a quarter of a million dollars, restudies compound that, and clustering helps less than it looks because the queue keeps changing. Distribution studies are simpler and parallelizable, but the data is worse and the volume far higher.

His answer is deliberately not a large language model. ThinkLabs trains deep machine learning models at the intersection of the physics equations and the model itself, so the system learns how power flows and how loads behave under contingency. The point of the physics is trustworthiness, since the utility authorizes the interconnection and has to believe a result enough to act on it. Two properties follow. The models are deterministic, so the same question returns the same answer and they cannot hallucinate, which is the first objection a utility would raise. And they are trained per utility on that utility’s own data, with no cross-training, which answers the security objection. The payoff he emphasizes is not only speed. It is that the model becomes generative: pre-train across whole ranges of futures, from load growth to renewable penetration to data center buildout, and inference can propose the upgrades that solve a region rather than listing what is broken.

Operations is where the episode turns. Kann assumes the ceiling is lower there, since the grid already looks automated. Wong says the opposite. The automation that exists is field automation, with substations and generator sites acting on their own faster than any human could intervene, which is precisely why reliability is so good. What humans do is alarm management, rules and dispatch, plus switching plans a week or two out deciding which lines can come out of service for planned work, and that last one is quietly becoming a crisis, because a congested grid leaves little room to take anything out of service in order to upgrade it. The business case today points at planning because interconnection is the growth engine, but Wong argues the durable value has always been reliability and workflow efficiency. The missing piece is a feedback loop: nothing learns from a day’s events until a postmortem, and the records never reconcile into one account of what happened. The same gap explains why planning and operations barely speak, since study results reach operators, if at all, as a spreadsheet of fixed criteria. His diagnosis is that no platform exists that can hold all the planning horizons at once, so utilities have organized themselves around the limits of their tools.

04What you need to know first

Worst-case planning and 8,760
Utilities have traditionally sized the system for the handful of worst hours in a year. The alternative is simulating all 8,760 hours, the only way to evaluate resources whose value depends on timing, such as batteries or flexible load.
Interconnection and energization studies
The analysis run before connecting a new generator or load, deciding whether the grid can take it and what must be upgraded first. On the bulk system these are batched into cluster studies; on distribution they arrive as individual requests in high volume.
Physics-informed, deterministic AI
A model trained on the equations governing power flow rather than on text, producing the same output for the same input every time. The claim is that this is what makes a result usable by the utility that has to formally authorize a connection.

05Details worth keeping

  • Utilities are struggling to find windows to take equipment out of service for planned work, because a grid planned for worst case and now congested cannot afford the contingency. If you overload the grid you cannot work on it.
  • Short-term forecasts have stopped being reliable, and Wong wants planning and operations to move from a single crystal-ball future to probabilistic ensembles with risk-adjusted decisions. He is clear utilities are not there yet.
  • Planning runs on at least four horizons that do not connect: 25 to 40 years out, a medium-term bulk generation view, five to ten years for transmission expansion (partly set by how long it takes to buy a transformer), and months to three years for distribution.
  • Nobody in planning or operations can say how much a given cable has actually been used historically, especially in distribution.
  • AI’s established utility uses are data cleansing, forecasting and retrieval over manuals and rate filings. Wong positions running the system study itself as the unclaimed step.
  • The records that would support a feedback loop come from supervisory control systems, phasor measurement units and work orders. They exist separately and, Wong says, cannot be reconciled into one account of an event.
  • Traditional power flow solvers use iterative methods bound by conventional processors. ThinkLabs is working with Nvidia on running these calculations natively on graphics processors, which Wong calls still evolving.
  • His closing argument is that a data center at this scale is effectively a new town, so it should be treated as a micro utility rather than a microgrid, with a responsibility and a capability to reinforce the grid around it.

06Claims worth citing

All figures as stated on 2026-08-20. Performance figures for ThinkLabs’ models come from its CEO and describe the company’s own product.

  • A cluster or large-load transmission interconnection study takes most utilities six to nine months and costs roughly a quarter of a million dollars, before any restudy. Wong
  • Southern California Edison projects up to 10,000 energization requests per month, each currently taking 30 to 45 days. a public study ThinkLabs did with SCE, cited by Wong
  • Training a power flow model for a system the size of a state, described as a couple of thousand buses, takes about 10 minutes and roughly $5 of compute, and yields models over 99.9% accurate across system states, against an unspecified baseline. Wong, ThinkLabs
  • Interconnection studies that took nine months run in about 10 minutes or less, and inference on a full 8,760-hour power flow is sub-second. Wong, ThinkLabs
  • In a recent example with a large unnamed utility, about 15 minutes generated more than 10,000 candidate line builds covering a system operator’s whole region for load growth. The transcript garbles this phrase, so the unit counted is worth checking before quoting. Wong, ThinkLabs
  • Example pre-training ranges: up to 50% load growth by 2030, half a gigawatt to 20 gigawatts of data centers, and zero to 100% renewable penetration by 2040. Wong
  • The grid has enough existing latent capacity to connect the majority, if not all, of today’s data centers, if utilities could find where it is. Stated explicitly as a belief, with no supporting analysis on air. Wong
  • Tens of gigawatts of data centers are being planned with behind-the-meter generation, increasingly as a bridge to a later interconnection. Kann

07Where it’s contested

  • Kann’s premise about operations gets rejected outright. He suggests the ceiling for AI is lower in operations because the grid is already automated; Wong answers that the potential is higher there, because the automation sits in the field rather than in the decisions, and because the real value is reliability rather than the growth-driven business case now attracting attention.
  • The company’s own numbers carry the argument. Training cost, accuracy, study speed and generated solution counts all come from the CEO, describe ThinkLabs’ models, and are not independently verified here. Customers are named only as large investor-owned utilities. That is normal for the format and worth remembering before repeating the 99.9% figure.
  • The latent capacity claim is the loosest thing said. Wong prefaces it as a personal belief and offers no study behind it. It also points toward the software he sells, since his remedy is better planning and operations rather than new capacity.
  • On data center microgrids he refuses a clean answer. He grants that behind-the-meter generation relieves an immediate capacity constraint and speeds time to power, then argues it creates harder problems on the transient and electromagnetic side whose study would burden utilities further. His summary is that you might alleviate some constraints and create others.
  • He hedges on how much utilities vary. The claim that planning assumptions almost never reach operations comes with the caveat that each utility is different, and his broader point is framed as a limitation of available tools rather than a failure by the people using them.

Cite as: “Can AI revolutionize grid operations?,” The Energy Transition for the Rest of Us, note on Catalyst with Shayle Kann, August 20, 2026. CC BY 4.0. View the Markdown